Poll: Who will you support in 2024Who do you think you’ll vote for in 2024? Trump? DeSantis? None of the above?

[HipKat]

5 hours ago, ICRockets2 said:

Be careful on the state and local level.  All it's going to take is a single weird election cycle and they can change election regulations that disenfranchise or gerrymander enough to make it impossible to vote them out.  From there it's inevitable that they'll find a way to influence the next step up in the chain.  

I was just going through a chart of the House results, and it seems that IL is the bluest of larger states- slightly bluer than CA as far as D to R ratio, plus Calif. has a handful of independent seats that further reduce D's as a % of the whole, whereas IL has none. So we're the bluest of the blue, surrounded by some of the reddest of the red.

[ICRockets2]

9 minutes ago, HipKat said:

I was just going through a chart of the House results, and it seems that IL is the bluest of larger states- slightly bluer than CA as far as D to R ratio, plus Calif. has a handful of independent seats that further reduce D's as a % of the whole, whereas IL has none. So we're the bluest of the blue, surrounded by some of the reddest of the red.

Yeah I think both NY and California had slightly more Dem-biased redistricting maps rejected by the courts this year, so they were re-drawn by independent commissions that made things "fair" for the GOP, whereas courts bent over backwards to validate blatantly gerrymandered pro-Republican maps in Wisconsin, Alabama, and 3 or 4 other important states.

Alabama's was particularly egregious because they went out of their way to ensure that there's only one majority-black district in the entire state despite 27% of Alabamans being black (for context, it's 12% across the whole country).