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Are We Overreacting to Omicron?


SackMan518
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Short answer - yes. COVID-19 is over. Dr. Alexander has been on top of this stuff from the get go and he has a great Substack if you like real data.

Are We Overreacting to Omicron?

 

With natural exposure immunity and early outpatient treatment, and when combined with no reports of increased lethality, the WHO’s reaction of generating panic toward “Omicron” is causing needless fear and panic. So too, with the Biden administration’s newly imposed travel restrictions which will achieve nothing and will once again disrupt trade and violate human rights. 

The WHO has said that the Omicron variant can spread more quickly than other variants. Likely true. The virus is behaving just how viruses behave. They are mutable and mutate and, via Muller’s ratchet, we expect this to be milder and milder mutations and not more lethal ones given the pathogen seeks to infect the host and not arrive at an evolutionary dead-end. 

The virus will mutate downward so that it can use the host (us) to propagate itself via our cellular metabolic machinery. The Delta has shown us this: it is very infectious and mostly non-lethal. Especially for children and healthy people. So is the WHO panicking the globe needlessly? Is this Covid-19 February 2020 once again? 

The problem with South Africa as is with Australia and New Zealand and even island nations like Trinidad is that it has low natural immunity to SAR-Cov-2. This is because, as we witnessed over the last year and more, if you lock down your society too long and too hard, you deny the nation and population from inching closer to population-level herd immunity. And you have no economy or society from which to  reemerge. You devastate your society for a pathogen that is largely harmless to the vast majority of people especially children. 

Moreover, governments asked us for two weeks to flatten the curve to help prepare hospitals so that they can tend to surges and other non-Covid illnesses. We as societies gave our governments 2 weeks, not 21 months. They failed to tend to the non-Covid illnesses and we locked down the healthy and well (children and young and middle aged healthy persons) while failing to properly protect the vulnerable and high-risk persons such as the elderly. We failed and it was like killing fields in our nursing homes. 

This failure rests on public health messaging and government. Additionally, what did our governments in the US, Canada, UK, Australia etc. do with the tax money for the hospitals and PPE etc.? Hospitals must be prepared by now. Governments have failed! Not the people. The Task Forces have failed, not the people. 

These nations thought that they could stay locked down and wait for a vaccine. This is a reasonable view though I was against lockdowns as they would and did cause crushing harms on especially poor persons and children. The problem is there was an opportunity cost because the vaccine we were waiting on was suboptimally developed without the proper safety testing or assessment of effectiveness. 

We have data that the Pfizer vaccine loses 40% of antibodies per month, meaning in 3 months post-shot, you have low effective vaccinal immunity. We see it clearly playing out now whereby you got to tamp down spread with the draconian lockdowns, but you did it at the cost of natural immunity. That is the opportunity cost. So we spent on getting the vaccine and it cost us natural immunity and thus herd immunity. 

For example, the vaccine has failed to stop infection and spread against Delta. We have research findings by Singanayagam et al. (fully vaccinated individuals with breakthrough infections have peak viral load similar to unvaccinated cases and can efficiently transmit infection in household settings, including to fully vaccinated contacts), by Chau et al. (viral loads of breakthrough Delta variant infection cases in vaccinated nurses were 251 times higher than those of cases infected with prior strains early 2020), and by Riemersma et al. (no difference in viral loads when comparing unvaccinated individuals to those who have vaccine “breakthrough” infections and if vaccinated individuals become infected with the delta variant, they may be sources of SARS-CoV-2 transmission to others) that reveal the vaccines have very suboptimal efficacy. 

This situation of the vaccinated being infectious and transmitting the virus has also emerged in seminal nosocomial outbreak papers by Chau et al. (HCWs in Vietnam), the Finland hospital outbreak (spread among HCWs and patients), and the Israel hospital outbreak (spread among HCWs and patients). These studies have also revealed that the PPE and masking were essentially ineffective within the healthcare setting. All of the HCWs were double-vaccinated yet there was extensive spread to themselves and their patients. 

In addition, Nordström et al. (vaccine effectiveness of Pfizer against infection waned progressively from 92% day 15-30 to 47% day 121-180, and from day 211 and onwards no effectiveness), Suthar et al. (a substantial waning of antibody responses and T cell immunity to SARS-CoV-2 and its variants, at 6 months following the second immunization), Yahi et al. (with Delta variant, neutralizing antibodies have a decreased affinity for the spike protein, whereas facilitating antibodies display a strikingly increased affinity), Juthani et al. (higher numbers of patients with severe or critical illness in those who received the Pfizer vaccine), Gazit et al. (SARS-CoV-2-naïve vaccinees had a 13-fold increased risk for breakthrough infection with the Delta variant, and substantially elevated risk of symptomatic Covid and hospitalization), and Acharya et al. (no significant difference in cycle threshold values between vaccinated and unvaccinated, asymptomatic and symptomatic groups infected with Delta) collectively reveal the poor efficacy and even negative efficacy of the Covid vaccines. Levine-Tiefenbrun et al. reports that the viral load reduction effectiveness declines with time after vaccination, “significantly decreasing at 3 months after vaccination and effectively vanishing after about 6 months.”

As an example, the Swedish study (retrospective with 842,974 pairs (N=1,684,958) is of interest and particularly concerning for it shows that while the vaccine provides temporary protection against infection, the effectiveness declines steadily and researchers report “Vaccine effectiveness of BNT162b2 against infection waned progressively from 92% (95% CI, 92-93, P<0·001) at day 15-30 to 47% (95% CI, 39-55, P<0·001) at day 121-180, and from day 211 and onwards no effectiveness could be detected (23%; 95% CI, -2-41, P=0·07). The effectiveness waned slightly slower for mRNA-1273, being estimated to 59% (95% CI, 18-79) from day 181 and onwards. In contrast, effectiveness of ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 was generally lower and waned faster, with no effectiveness detected from day 121 and onwards (-19%, 95% CI, -97-28), whereas effectiveness from heterologous ChAdOx1 nCoV-19 / mRNA was maintained from 121 days and onwards (66%; 95% CI, 41-80).”  Researchers contend that “Vaccine effectiveness against symptomatic Covid-19 infection wanes progressively over time across all subgroups, but at different rate according to type of vaccine, and faster for men and older frail individuals.” 

A further example emerges from Ireland whereby reporting suggests that the Waterford city district has the State’s highest rate of Covid-19 infections, while the county also boasts the highest rate of vaccination in the Republic (99.7% vaccinated). Reports are that the U.S. Covid-19 deaths for 2021 surpassed the deaths from 2020, leading some to state that “more people have died from COVID-19 in 2021, with most adults vaccinated and nearly all seniors), than in 2020 when nobody was vaccinated.” 

Thus these nations that locked down and stayed that way are in a quandary for they do not know what to do now. If you open you will get surges in infection. Where is the money that was to go to hospital preparation? Did governments embezzle and steal and misappropriate the money for the hospitals remain still not prepared? 

We have a lot of natural immunity in the US, e.g. near 65-70% of the population. The open states (those that did not lock down too long and too hard and opened quickly) will likely do very well with this Omicron or any new variant. This also is the power of natural immunity. 

And we need not forget the potency of the overlooked ‘innate’ immunity with the innate antibodies and innate natural killer cellular compartment. This innate response is particularly potent in children (our first line of defense against pathogens) and is what has spared children from Covid and how children typically stave off pathogens, especially young children still laying down immunological memory. 

Moreover, there is no reporting of increased virulence/lethality of this new Omicron variant. As yet this will remain the case based on Delta and prior variants. There are no guarantees but we operate based on risk and all things point to the same for this new variant. 

Just because there might be a wave in SA does not mean that there will be waves in the US or Israel or other places with greater natural immunity. This was the prize of letting people enjoy day-to-day living. The nations that have ended lockdowns are likely to move past this new variant scare, and be fine. This is more of an overreaction by the WHO and governments and much ado about nothing. 

 

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1 hour ago, Thebowflexbody said:

The world can't handle cold symptoms anymore.  What are the actual fatality numbers regarding Omicron?  Anyone?

2 fat old guys in Oklahoma? 

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9 minutes ago, travolta said:

I just got over it. 
 

Chills, body ach, no appetite, major sleep for 3 days. Still lingering with cough and no appetite. 

No vaccine. 

You've won. No need for a vaccine now.

Sack "The Buffalo Range's TRUSTED News Source!"

“When a well-packaged web of lies has been sold gradually to the masses over generations, the truth will seem utterly preposterous and its speaker a raving lunatic.” ~ Dresden James

Parler @NYexile

 

 

 

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37 minutes ago, travolta said:

I just got over it. 
 

Chills, body ach, no appetite, major sleep for 3 days. Still lingering with cough and no appetite. 

No vaccine. 

I had incredible thirst versus the chills.  Otherwise my symptoms were exactly the same.  That was from my booster shot last Wednesday, not covid.

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I heard this morning that people who have omicron don't lose their sense of taste or smell, symptoms do include headaches, sinus issues and a cough. Call me crazy but I think that they are misspelling the word cold

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“There he goes. One of God's own prototypes.

A high-powered mutant of some kind, never even considered for mass production.

Too weird to live, and too rare to die.”

 

Twitter: @HKTheResistance

 

HipKat, on *** other h***, is genuine, unapoli***tically nasty, and w**** his hea** on his ******. jc856

I’ll just forward them to Bridgett. comssvet11

Seek help. soflabillsfan

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35 minutes ago, FanBack said:

I had incredible thirst versus the chills.  Otherwise my symptoms were exactly the same.  That was from my booster shot last Wednesday, not covid.

I must be lucky because I never had any symptoms from any of the shots. The booster shot and the first shot were the same in that I couldn't even tell I got a shot. I really didn't even have any pain in my arm and the second shot I was a little tired but it didn't stop me from doing anything like some people who told me they couldn't get off the couch

  • Like 1

“There he goes. One of God's own prototypes.

A high-powered mutant of some kind, never even considered for mass production.

Too weird to live, and too rare to die.”

 

Twitter: @HKTheResistance

 

HipKat, on *** other h***, is genuine, unapoli***tically nasty, and w**** his hea** on his ******. jc856

I’ll just forward them to Bridgett. comssvet11

Seek help. soflabillsfan

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"South Africa's huge omicron wave appears to be subsiding just as quickly as it grew"...BUT I told you this; this is natural and innate immunity and early drug treatment; only 20% SA is vaxxed
so the rapid decline is not due to vax status, it is due to natural immunity, it is due to early treatment, it is due to seasonality, FARR's law where there will be a rise, peak and decline, XMAS gift

 

I mean just look at what we have, we have one nation with literally no vaccine status, SA and the new variant comes and is leaving, and you have Israel with its 4 shot to go to 5th, they are deranged over there…100% it will never work…and they are driving more variants and could be a lethal one…they best be very careful…but here is Israel vaxxed up and defenseless…it shows the vaccine is not and never worked…a spike in antibodies meant nothing…the real question is can it induce long lasting immunity and no it cant and did not. as we see, all are getting infected…it was a lie day one that you lockdown and wait for the vaccine and we could vax our way out of this…we told them impossible…never ever with a leaky imperfect non-sterilizing vaccine…they all knew it was a lie and still know it…this is about power now, power they cant let go of, and forced compliance and grift and graft…this is about money, evil money….a vaccine that never worked and an immune repose that is wrong for it was primed wrong (prejudiced, ‘original antigenic sin of which I renamed mortal antigenic sin’) from the moment you took the shot…it was over…you p****ed your immune response life long to that pathogen or similar.

so stop, no more! no booster, none of it…Omicron will finish off the natural immunity in the nation and life goes on…tell Fauci and Walensky and Francis Collins and Bourla to p****k to hell off!

these idiotic camera hungry, inept and incompetent ‘experts’ at CDC and NIH and television medical experts, they are not contemporary with the data or science and do not know what they are saying or doing and is why for 22 months we remain in this madness, for it is madness….

people, take off the masks and throw them away, tell them to p***k off; tell CNN and FOX with their deranged Siegal and his vaccine madness; pure garbage this man talks…please understand, you are helping them destroy your child with the masking and the lockdowns and school closures and the crushing psychological, physical, maturational damage all of that has done….you got to salvage your child now! no vaccine…I repeat, if after all we know now, that these vaccines DO NOT work, a waste of time, you will need boosters every 4 months, maybe 2 months, that they are harmful…people die after the vaccine, this is real data the CNN and FOX shilling for pharma wont tell you…your child WILL die…and these beasts in govn and pharma, these vaccine developers were given liability protection by POTUS Trump so when you child dies from these vaccines you have no one to turn to…

it is up to you to decide but you will be the classic definition of crazy if you went ahead with a booster and vaccinated your child…

stop it! it is time you said NO! Every single lockdown, school closures, mask mandate failed….nothing these beasts in govn did worked….you say stop it and take back your freedom and life…you will be fine…just say no and begin life again…live as if COVID is gone for it is…

South Africa's huge omicron wave appears to be subsiding just as quickly as it grew
https://ca.yahoo.com/news/south-africas-huge-omicron-wave-165406835.html

Max Bearak

Wed., December 22, 2021, 11:54 a.m.

NAIROBI, Kenya - South Africa's huge wave of omicron cases appears to be subsiding just as quickly as it grew in the weeks after the country first announced to the world that the new coronavirus variant had been identified.

South Africa's top infectious-disease scientist, who has been leading the country's pandemic response, said Wednesday that the country had rapidly passed the peak of new omicron cases and, judging by preliminary evidence, he expected "every other country, or almost every other, to follow the same trajectory."

https://palexander.substack.com/p/south-africas-huge-omicron-wave-appears?token=eyJ1c2VyX2lkIjozNjUxNzk3MCwicG9zdF9pZCI6NDU5MTg1MjgsIl8iOiJYUzVkQiIsImlhdCI6MTY0MDI3NTg5NiwiZXhwIjoxNjQwMjc5NDk2LCJpc3MiOiJwdWItNTc5MzU2Iiwic3ViIjoicG9zdC1yZWFjdGlvbiJ9.LkHiWVMLAX5flfIsHZOoPYrTiE27JKeeLnc-ArsriL0

 

Sack "The Buffalo Range's TRUSTED News Source!"

“When a well-packaged web of lies has been sold gradually to the masses over generations, the truth will seem utterly preposterous and its speaker a raving lunatic.” ~ Dresden James

Parler @NYexile

 

 

 

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1 hour ago, HipKat said:

I must be lucky because I never had any symptoms from any of the shots. The booster shot and the first shot were the same in that I couldn't even tell I got a shot. I really didn't even have any pain in my arm and the second shot I was a little tired but it didn't stop me from doing anything like some people who told me they couldn't get off the couch

First shot and booster.   The second shot did nothing.   For all of them I had to ask 'did you get me?'.  I felt nothing. 

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1 hour ago, HipKat said:

I heard this morning that people who have omicron don't lose their sense of taste or smell, symptoms do include headaches, sinus issues and a cough. Call me crazy but I think that they are misspelling the word cold

Agree.  The media and libs are purposely creating panic over pretty much nothing.  Despicable.

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5 hours ago, HipKat said:

I must be lucky because I never had any symptoms from any of the shots. The booster shot and the first shot were the same in that I couldn't even tell I got a shot. I really didn't even have any pain in my arm and the second shot I was a little tired but it didn't stop me from doing anything like some people who told me they couldn't get off the couch

Same here.  No real issues with the Booster or the first shot.  The second shot hit me about 24 hours later and one good sleep and I was good to go.  Different story for my 21 y/o daughter who got the full measure of chills, etc for both her 2nd and booster shot.

 

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10 hours ago, FanBack said:

First shot and booster.   The second shot did nothing.   For all of them I had to ask 'did you get me?'.  I felt nothing. 

Same. The Booster especially. I mean I literally didn't feel her stick me with it

“There he goes. One of God's own prototypes.

A high-powered mutant of some kind, never even considered for mass production.

Too weird to live, and too rare to die.”

 

Twitter: @HKTheResistance

 

HipKat, on *** other h***, is genuine, unapoli***tically nasty, and w**** his hea** on his ******. jc856

I’ll just forward them to Bridgett. comssvet11

Seek help. soflabillsfan

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2 hours ago, travolta said:

We all might be forced to vaccinate out of inconvenience. 

the more they push, the more I resist. 

 

IMG_20211223_221606_981.jpg

Sack "The Buffalo Range's TRUSTED News Source!"

“When a well-packaged web of lies has been sold gradually to the masses over generations, the truth will seem utterly preposterous and its speaker a raving lunatic.” ~ Dresden James

Parler @NYexile

 

 

 

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10 hours ago, Thebowflexbody said:

Agree.  The media and libs are purposely creating panic over pretty much nothing.  Despicable.

In this case, agreed. They're using a new and weak variant to try and incite more people to wear useless masks and "stay tuned in for breaking news" aka keep those ratings up. News media is voluntary brainwashing.

  • Like 1

“There he goes. One of God's own prototypes.

A high-powered mutant of some kind, never even considered for mass production.

Too weird to live, and too rare to die.”

 

Twitter: @HKTheResistance

 

HipKat, on *** other h***, is genuine, unapoli***tically nasty, and w**** his hea** on his ******. jc856

I’ll just forward them to Bridgett. comssvet11

Seek help. soflabillsfan

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6 hours ago, foster said:

Same here.  No real issues with the Booster or the first shot.  The second shot hit me about 24 hours later and one good sleep and I was good to go.  Different story for my 21 y/o daughter who got the full measure of chills, etc for both her 2nd and booster shot.

 

“There he goes. One of God's own prototypes.

A high-powered mutant of some kind, never even considered for mass production.

Too weird to live, and too rare to die.”

 

Twitter: @HKTheResistance

 

HipKat, on *** other h***, is genuine, unapoli***tically nasty, and w**** his hea** on his ******. jc856

I’ll just forward them to Bridgett. comssvet11

Seek help. soflabillsfan

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6 hours ago, foster said:

Same here.  No real issues with the Booster or the first shot.  The second shot hit me about 24 hours later and one good sleep and I was good to go.  Different story for my 21 y/o daughter who got the full measure of chills, etc for both her 2nd and booster shot.

My dumb fucking kids' mother forced my 16 yr old to get the Pfizer booster and she's sick as hell right now

“There he goes. One of God's own prototypes.

A high-powered mutant of some kind, never even considered for mass production.

Too weird to live, and too rare to die.”

 

Twitter: @HKTheResistance

 

HipKat, on *** other h***, is genuine, unapoli***tically nasty, and w**** his hea** on his ******. jc856

I’ll just forward them to Bridgett. comssvet11

Seek help. soflabillsfan

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2 hours ago, HipKat said:

My dumb fucking kids' mother forced my 16 yr old to get the Pfizer booster and she's sick as hell right now

It was a 24hr’s of discomfort for my daughter for shot #2 and the booster. 
 

The good news is that as a college kid who just spent a semester abroad, she’s surely been exposed to the virus and not yet tested positive on any occasion. 

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On 12/23/2021 at 10:17 AM, HipKat said:

I must be lucky because I never had any symptoms from any of the shots. The booster shot and the first shot were the same in that I couldn't even tell I got a shot. I really didn't even have any pain in my arm and the second shot I was a little tired but it didn't stop me from doing anything like some people who told me they couldn't get off the couch

I didn’t have any symptoms from the two shots (no booster, yet). 
 

but the scales growing on my back are turning a real nice translucent green. My tongue is starting to split, and I can see better at night now. TWD was right.

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