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Everything posted by HipKat

  1. After the San Francisco 49ers took down the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, it became official: the top seeds in both the NFC and the AFC are still up for grabs. Week 13 saw plenty of movement in the NFL playoff picture, and there is still plenty of time for it to change. Let’s take a look at where things stand with one game left to go in Week 13. Listed odds to make the playoffs, secure the No. 1 seed and win the Super Bowl are all via The Athletic’s NFL betting model, created by Austin Mock. AFC playoff picture SEED TEAM RECORD WEEK 13 RESULT 1 Dolphins 9-3 W vs. WAS 2 Ravens 9-3 Bye 3 Jaguars 8-3 TBD (vs. CIN) 4 Chiefs 8-4 L vs. GB 5 Steelers 7-5 L vs. ARI 6 Browns 7-5 L vs. LAR 7 Colts 7-5 W vs. TEN Miami Dolphins The Dolphins have scored 79 points in their last two wins against the New York Jets and Washington Commanders, so they’re cooking again and should keep rolling in their next two games. But the bigger picture for the Dolphins is how this will translate to the playoffs. Their final three regular-season games will determine their status among the league’s contenders. The Dolphins’ .306 strength of victory is the worst in the AFC and the third worst in the NFL. Remaining schedule: vs. Titans, vs. Jets, vs. Cowboys, at Ravens, vs. Bills Odds: To make playoffs: 99.6 percent | To earn bye: 28.9 percent | To win Super Bowl: 10.9 percent Baltimore Ravens The Ravens had a desirable Week 13 bye week to rest up for a late-season push for the No. 1 seed. They’re surely going to have to earn it with three consecutive games against division leaders following a date with the Los Angeles Rams. If the Ravens handle business, quarterback Lamar Jackson will garner MVP consideration. Remaining schedule: vs. Rams, at Jaguars, at 49ers, vs. Dolphins, vs. Steelers Odds: To make playoffs: 98.4 percent | To earn bye: 18.6 percent | To win Super Bowl: 10 percent Jacksonville Jaguars The Jaguars are hosting a Monday Night Football game for the first time since 2011. Surely, this could have been a far more heavily anticipated matchup if Cincinnati Bengals quarterback Joe Burrow was playing, but it’s still going to serve as a nice tune-up in the spotlight. The Jags’ next three games could offer a glimpse into how they’ll fare in the postseason, and they’re very much alive for the AFC’s top seed. Remaining schedule: vs. Bengals (Monday), at Browns, vs. Ravens, at Buccaneers, vs. Panthers, at Titans Odds: To make playoffs: 99.1 percent | To earn bye: 27.3 percent | To win Super Bowl: 9.5 percent Kansas City Chiefs The Chiefs are 2-3 over their last five games while averaging 19.4 points per clip. This is the best defense of the Patrick Mahomes era, but the offense isn’t delivering. More concerning, Mahomes and the offense haven’t played well in clutch situations over that stretch. The Chiefs have an easy schedule the rest of the way, but they could use a solid fourth quarter in a tight game to reassure themselves before the playoffs. Remaining schedule: vs. Bills, at Patriots, vs. Raiders, vs. Bengals, at Chargers Odds: To make playoffs: 99.2 percent | To earn bye: 24.3 percent | To win Super Bowl: 13.9 percent Pittsburgh Steelers The Steelers too frequently force their defense to play a perfect game. And as their record shows, they’re certainly capable of doing that. But when they don’t, they get the results like Sunday — a 24-10 loss — when they were severely outplayed by an Arizona Cardinals team that’s been in the mix for the No. 1 pick in the draft. Remaining schedule: vs. Patriots, at Colts, vs. Bengals, at Seahawks, at Ravens Odds: To make playoffs: 64.7 percent | To earn bye: 0.3 percent | To win Super Bowl: 1.1 percent Cleveland Browns Incredibly, the Browns remain in good standing with Joe Flacco becoming their fourth starting QB of the season. And beyond that, if Flacco starts next week, all four of those QBs will have started multiple games, so it’s not like they’re dealing with a string of one-off situations. Credit to coach Kevin Stefanski and that incredible defense for keeping them afloat amid the chaos, but the back-to-back losses to the Denver Broncos and Rams have brought the Browns back to the wild-card pack. Remaining schedule: vs. Jaguars, vs. Bears, at Texans, vs. Jets, at Bengals Odds: To make playoffs: 65.3 percent | To earn bye: 0.2 percent | To win Super Bowl: 1 percent Indianapolis Colts It doesn’t always look pretty, but the Colts’ four-game winning streak is impressive nonetheless. They were a disaster in 2022, lost quarterback Anthony Richardson early, have only gotten about a half season’s worth of work from running back Jonathan Taylor and overcame a three-game losing streak. To be fair, their only two wins against teams with winning records occurred in Weeks 2 and 3, but the Colts shouldn’t apologize for being in the playoff mix given the adversity they’ve overcome. Remaining schedule: at Bengals, vs. Steelers, at Falcons, vs. Raiders, vs. Texans Odds: To make playoffs: 63.9 percent | To earn bye: 0.1 percent | To win Super Bowl: 0.7 percent In the hunt • Houston Texans (7-5) • Denver Broncos (6-6) • Buffalo Bills (6-6) • Cincinnati Bengals (5-6) • Los Angeles Chargers (5-7) • Las Vegas Raiders (5-7) • New York Jets (4-8) • Tennessee Titans (4-8) • New England Patriots (2-10) Eliminated: • None NFC playoff picture SEED TEAM RECORD WEEK 13 RESULT 1 Eagles 10-2 L vs. SF 2 49ers 9-3 W vs. PHI 3 Lions 9-3 W vs. NO 4 Falcons 6-6 W vs. NYJ 5 Cowboys 9-3 W vs. SEA 6 Vikings 6-6 Bye 7 Packers 6-6 W vs. KC Philadelphia Eagles Surely a humbling experience for the Eagles in a blowout loss to the 49ers, but they’ll be OK. Don’t lose sight of the fact that they had just taken down the Dolphins, Cowboys, Chiefs and Bills over the last five games. But now the cushion is gone, and the Eagles will have to stave off the Cowboys in a crucial NFC East rematch. Remaining schedule: at Cowboys, at Seahawks, vs. Giants, vs. Cardinals, at Giants Odds: To make playoffs: 100 percent | To earn bye: 44.2 percent | To win Super Bowl: 11 percent San Francisco 49ers When the Niners are clicking offensively, they have a way of grinding down their opponents into rubble, and they almost made it look easy Sunday against the Eagles. The 49ers impressively sucked the life out of the Philly crowd and an Eagles team that showed incredible resilience to erase double-digit deficits in their last two wins against the Chiefs and Bills. The 49ers were robbed of a chance to know how they stacked up against Philly in the NFC Championship Game due to quarterback Brock Purdy’s early injury, so this will give them plenty of confidence heading into January. Remaining schedule: vs. Seahawks, at Cardinals, vs. Ravens, at Commanders, vs. Rams Odds: To make playoffs: 99.9 percent | To earn bye: 41.8 percent | To win Super Bowl: 18.9 percent Detroit Lions It’s been a bumpier ride of late for the Lions, but they’re still winning despite their struggles. The Lions are good enough to make a playoff run, but their inconsistency with ball security is a big concern. Remaining schedule: at Bears, vs. Broncos, at Vikings, at Cowboys, vs. Vikings Odds: To make playoffs: 99.5 percent | To earn bye: 5.1 percent | To win Super Bowl: 6.3 percent Atlanta Falcons They’ve won back-to-back games for the first time since their 2-0 start. Now with the Bucs and Panthers on tap, the Falcons have a chance to put together an extended winning streak. Eight wins might be enough to lock up the NFC South. Remaining schedule: vs. Buccaneers, at Panthers, vs. Colts, at Bears, at Saints Odds: To make playoffs: 64.6 percent | To earn bye: 0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 0.9 percent Dallas Cowboys The Cowboys have the Eagles where they want them, visiting Dallas this week with a chance to pull into a tie atop the division. Or do they? They’ve lost their two biggest tests of the season against the 49ers and Eagles. Both of those games were also on the road, which furthers the importance of the Cowboys’ chase for the division title and the chance to host additional playoff games. Remaining schedule: vs. Eagles, at Bills, at Dolphins, vs. Lions, at Commanders Odds: To make playoffs: 99.9 percent | To earn bye: 8.9 percent | To win Super Bowl: 10.2 percent Minnesota Vikings Good for the Vikings to climb into the playoff mix after a 1-4 start, but the loss of Kirk Cousins and their current two-game losing streak has them on dangerous ground. Quarterback Josh Dobbs is one of the best individual stories of the season, though coach Kevin O’Connell said the Vikings would need to take a hard look at the position during their bye week. Remaining schedule: at Raiders, at Bengals, vs. Lions, vs. Packers, at Lions Odds: To make playoffs: 46 percent | To earn bye: 0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 0.6 percent Green Bay Packers No hyperbole, Jordan Love has commanded the line of scrimmage as well as any quarterback over the Packers’ three-game winning streak. If this is the tip of the iceberg, the Packers are set to make a run against an incredibly easy schedule over the final five games, and there’s no telling how far that confidence could lead them in the playoffs. Remaining schedule: at Giants, vs. Buccaneers, at Panthers, at Vikings, vs. Bears Odds: To make playoffs: 67 percent | To earn bye: 0 percent | To win Super Bowl: 0.8 percent In the hunt • Los Angeles Rams (6-6) • Seattle Seahawks (6-6) • Tampa Bay Buccaneers (5-7) • New Orleans Saints (5-7) • New York Giants (4-8) • Chicago Bears (4-8) • Washington Commanders (4-9) • Arizona Cardinals (3-10) Eliminated: • Carolina Panthers (1-11)
  2. Coach Sean McDermott’s first Buffalo Bills team was 6-6 in 2017 before winning three of its final four to be a feel-good playoff qualifier. McDermott’s seventh Bills team returns from its bye week at 6-6 (2-4 in the last six) and likely needs to win four of its final five games to sneak into the AFC tournament. Anything short of that will be a feel-bad season. Before looking ahead to Sunday’s game at Kansas City, here is a look back at the last month in this edition of What We’ve Learned About The Bills. 1. The top issue remains one-possession games. Entering Sunday’s games, the Bills were 2-6 in one-possession games (eight or fewer points), tied with New England for the most losses in the league (also 2-6). The best records were Philadelphia (7-1), Pittsburgh (6-1) and Kansas City (5-2). In the crowd of bad with the Bills and Patriots are the Los Angeles Chargers (2-5) and Arizona, Carolina and Tampa Bay (1-4). A look at the losses: At New York Jets (Week 1, lost 22-16 in overtime): The Bills blew a 10-point lead and lost in overtime on a 65-yard punt return touchdown by Xavier Gipson. Jacksonville in London (Week 5, lost 25-20): The Bills cut the Jaguars’ lead to 18-13 with 4:03 remaining, but allowed a game-sealing touchdown with 2:56 left to make it 25-13. At New England (Week 7, lost 29-25): The Bills completed a 12-point comeback to take their first lead with 1:58 remaining, but allowed the woeful Patriots to drive 75 yards in 1:46 for the winning touchdown. An even more inexcusable loss than the 12-men-on-the-field debacle against Denver. At Cincinnati (Week 9, lost 24-18): The Bengals ran out the final 3:32 after the Bills closed the lead to six points. Denver (Week 10, lost 24-22): The Bills took a one-point lead with 1:56 remaining, but the Broncos used 28 yards of penalties to kick the winning field goal as time expired. At Philadelphia (Week 12, lost 37-34 in overtime): Leads of 17-7 (halftime), 24-14 (entering fourth quarter), 31-28 (1:52 remaining) and 34-31 (5:52 left in overtime) were squandered. 2. The Bills have a two-pronged Von Miller problem. Problem No. 1: Miller turned himself into police in the Dallas area last Thursday after he was charged with domestic violence against the mother of his children. The police affidavit said the woman and Miller have been in a relationship for seven years and the woman told police she is six weeks pregnant. The woman told Dallas television station WFAA “the situation was blown out of context.” Dependent on the evidence, her recantation does not clear Miller. This is not going away. The Bills’ statement was boilerplate, but they should be livid and McDermott should consider making Miller a healthy scratch against Kansas City as punishment for putting the organization in a bad light. Problem No. 2: Miller, 12 1/2 months removed from his right ACL tear, has been unable to gain any traction since returning in Week 5. I have him booked for 2 1/2 pass-rush disruptions (no sacks) in eight games. 3. There no other options at safety, so deal with it. Two things McDermott dislikes: Being asked to comment on the officiating (even though poking the referees and absorbing the fine would show the team he is sticking up for them publicly) and even suggesting slippage in the play of veteran safeties Micah Hyde and Jordan Poyer (two McDermott loyalists and vice versa). The sledding against the Eagles was difficult for Hyde, in particular. On Philadelphia receiver A.J. Brown’s three-yard touchdown catch, he leaked open when it appeared cornerback Rasul Douglas thought he was passing Brown off to Hyde, who instead pursued quarterback Jalen Hurts. On receiver Olamide Zaccheaus’ 29-yard touchdown on third-and-15, Hyde got caught Hurts-watching, allowing Zaccheaus to gain separation for a terrific catch. The Bills have no internal options, though. Cam Lewis? Damar Hamlin? Taylor Rapp? Siran Neal? Safety must be a priority after the first round of the 2024 draft. 4. The special teams are a mess. The Bills had two enforced special teams penalties in the first seven games, but have six in the last five. Against Philadelphia, they had needless face-mask and holding penalties on Neal and Baylon Spector, respectively. And, of course, there was the too-many-men penalty that gave Denver a do-over field goal. Kicker Tyler Bass is in a funk. He started the year making his first nine field-goal attempts, but is 9 of 14 since, including two misses against Philadelphia. The Bills signed receiver Deonte Harty to provide a punt-return boost, but they rank 18th in the league (8.9) and Harty was a healthy scratch against the Eagles. Cutting Harty after the season would create $4.11 million in valuable salary cap space. 5. Joe Brady’s true 2024 play-calling audition is about to begin. Installed as the interim offensive coordinator on Nov. 14, Brady has called the plays for two games and the Bills have scored 68 points and totaled 898 yards. But his real trial run will start when tight end Dawson Knox (right wrist surgery after the Oct. 22 loss at New England) is activated. By drafting tight end Dalton Kincaid No. 25 overall in April, the Bills declared an intention to use “12” personnel (two receivers, two tight ends and one tailback) as their preferred personnel grouping. Minus Knox, the Bills have used “11” (three receivers, one tight end and one tailback), as they did last year. In his five healthy games (he was initially injured in the Week 5 loss to the Jaguars), Knox had only 11 catches. If Brady can effectively deploy Kincaid (second on the team with 56 catches, but only four of at least 16 yards) and Knox, he will help his case of being the full-time play-caller next year. 6. Khalil Shakir is developing into a solid No. 2A/2B option for 2024. Shakir, the Bills’ second-year player, was the biggest beneficiary of Knox’s injury. First six games: Four catches for 40 yards (one touchdown). Last six games: Twenty-one catches for 370 yards (one touchdown). Notable during the current six-game stretch is Shakir’s ability to stretch the field – he has receptions of 21, 30, 22, 23, 24, 27, 81 and 31 yards. The Bills should continue to involve Shakir when Knox and “12” personnel returns. Gabe Davis is a free agent, and even if the Bills prioritize receiver in rounds 1-2 (which they should), Shakir has showed he can be a consistent option with a draft pick to be named behind Stefon Diggs. Additionally, Shakir took over the punt-return duties from Harty against Philadelphia (7.4-yard average on five returns). 7. The league should condense the bye-week schedule moving forward. The Bills were among six teams (Baltimore, Chicago, Minnesota, Las Vegas and the New York Giants) with Week 13 byes. Too late. Arizona and Washington have Week 14 byes. Way too late. The NFL office has to serve its television partners, which is why the bye weeks started in Week 5 (too early) and why there were no byes in Week 8 (a quirk, it appears) and Week 12 (five national television windows on Thanksgiving Week). The byes should start in Week 6 and run through Week 11 (six teams per week). That allows for full 16-game schedules from Weeks 1-5 and 12-18 and means teams will play a minimum of five games and maximum of 10 games before their bye. The later byes remove hope for banged-up or struggling teams to regroup closer to midseason.
  3. My driving's fine. Over 2 million miles. 1 Accident ever and it was someone rear-ending me
  4. Yeah, right, SUUUURREE you do. I seen you pushing Desantis for President and promnoting his policies all over the forum for months. Oh, wait, no you don't. You suck Trump's ass all over the forum, instead. BuT, derrrrrrrrrrrrr, yOu WaNt DeSaNtIs...... o0 Trump gave your tax money to the wealthiest people in America. Another year and you get to join the rest of us in paying for that. 3000-5000 People per DAY were dying from Covid in the US on When Trump left office. A year later less than 100. Guess who was President? Guess who sent out Vaccines en masse? Wasn't Trump. Your inability to accept anything positive about Biden's presidency is a pretty solid indicator of how brainwashed you are, cult-boy
  5. I disagree. We beat KC and we possibly beat Dallas at home
  6. Truth is, I'm cool with Shiva. I even paid him a compliment but his brain is so full of worms, he didn't get it. Spike is a moron. Period.
  7. I use Voice to Text going 75MPH down the highway. Proof reading isn't part of the equation. Get a fucking brain and figure the mistakes out yourself, skippy. Or fuck off. Actually, just fuck off. You know the biggest difference between you and I? You'll be dead soon. I won't.
  8. “This is a sad day in the history of the prestigious Judiciary Committee and further underscores the Left’s two tiers of justice crusade,” Blackburn said in a statement. “Senate Democrats have long been trying to undermine the Supreme Court and Justice Clarence Thomas, but want to ignore Justice Sotomayor allegedly using her taxpayer-funded staff to coordinate speaking engagements in exchange for selling and promoting thousands of her books,” she added. “They also don’t want to have a conversation about the estate of Jeffrey Epstein to find out the names of every person who participated in Jeffrey Epstein’s human trafficking ring.” Turns out, in the eyes of social media users, Democrats have plenty to hide… here’s a quick sampling of responses to the story, as seen on X: LINK I'd LOVE to know who was on those flights Pedo-express
  9. No, you went with the most corrupt, useless, Anti-American version of the Republicans in the history of this country. A Cult that worships a criminal that hates anyone who refuses to kiss his ass I voted for Biden to beat Trump - he did, end Covid, he basically did, pass infrastructure and take on the recession - he did both and restore the relationship between the US and our Allies - he did.. You THINK you won?? Wrong! You support Christian Sharia law, revenge politics and justice and the cult.
  10. Hunter requested to make his testimony public. Sounds like he must be hiding something
  11. On the other board I post politics on there's a long running thread where both sides agree on the insane spending this country does
  12. Right. How many rockets did he fire when Trump was President?
  13. Maybe. We’ll see how it works out in Court, but you know, like I’ve always said, if he’s guilty, then fucking lock his ass up. which is not like what you say about Donald Trump. So which one of us is it that idolizes somebody again?
  14. You know I like you Rich I’m trying to help you here, but you look like a fucking idiot every time you accuse me of worshiping or idolizing Joe Biden. It’s like when you say that I agree with all the progressives on here all the time. Which I almost never do by the way. I’m sorry if your cult brainwashing is feeding you false information or giving you ridiculous responses to things that people say, but really, you can do better
  15. Dude, I didn’t say anything about political affiliation. I said most people who collect welfare live in rural areas where most people vote for Republicans. I mean you can look at any map that shows Democrats versus Republicans and where the red areas are and where the blue areas are. The blue areas are cities the red areas which take up most of the country, or not cities. Regardless, most welfare is paid to people in rural areas. Where there are no jobs or no good paying jobs or no steady jobs. That’s just personal welfare. Most of the welfare paid out, alcohol is corporate welfare. A very large chunk of that goes to farmers. I’m pretty sure you know who they voted for in most cases. What doesn’t go to farmers goes to corporations which are run by the wealthiest people in America. The exact people that get the tax breaks but every Republican president cannot get through a term without handing out. Maybe you’ll understand better in two years when you’re one of the people paying back the money from the trump tax cuts to the rich people that don’t expire. For us, they do expire. One of the many benefits of your favorite president.
  16. Look! It’s King Kong Gumby!!
  17. No, it’s not and sorry for a voice to text error, which I corrected but you can do your own research and who receives most of the welfare in this country
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