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Bills vs Chiefs UPDATE

Reports are that if Milano plays, it will be in specialized roles and in a limited capacity.

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Buffalo Bills must be aggressive to win against Chiefs on SNF (5 things to watch)

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Buffalo Bills must be aggressive to win against Chiefs on SNF (5 things to watch)

 

The Kansas City Chiefs were the Buffalo Bills’ Kryptonite in 2020, but the team will look to show that is a thing of the past in Week 5.

Buffalo (3-1) will head to Arrowhead Stadium to take on Kansas City (2-2) in front of a national audience on Sunday Night Football. The matchup, an AFC Championship Game rematch, features a Bills team that has won three consecutive games in blowout fashion and a Chiefs team that is as explosive as ever on offense, but has struggled mightily on defense through four weeks.

Heading into the game, here are 5 things to watch.

Aggressiveness of the Bills

If the Bills learned anything from their AFC Championship loss to Kansas City, the team should know that being aggressive the key to defeating the Chiefs. In the AFC Championship, Buffalo opted to play it safe and kick field goals rather than attempt to convert 4th and manageable plays. Against the Chiefs, field goals typically don’t get the job done. On Sunday night, the Bills need to be aggressive in those situations.

If the championship game wasn’t enough evidence, look no further than the Chiefs’ two losses this season. In their game against Baltimore, the Ravens were clinging to a one point lead with 1:05 remaining. It was 4th and 1 from their own 43 and instead of punting the ball, John Harbaugh asked Lamar Jackson if he wanted to go for it. Baltimore chose the aggressive approach and saw Jackson pick up two yards to seal the game. Punting it back to Kansas City with that much time remaining likely would have been enough for Mahomes and company to get into field goal range.

Chargers head coach Brandon Staley one-upped Harbaugh in terms of aggressiveness and it led to the Chiefs’ second loss of the year. With the game tied at 24, the Chargers had the chance to kick the go-ahead field goal from the Chiefs’ 30-yard line with 48 seconds remaining. Staley and the Chargers opted to go for it. A false start suddenly made it 4th and 9, but Staley decided to keep his offense on the field. Los Angeles moved the chains on fourth down via a pass interference penalty and scored a touchdown two plays later.

Buffalo needs to be just as aggressive as Baltimore and Los Angeles on Sunday Night Football if they hope to hand Kansas City their third loss of the season.

Can Bills pass rush get home against Mahomes, Chiefs?

Buffalo’s goal after falling short of making the Super Bowl last season was to improve their pass rush.

The team signed Efe Obada (5.5 sacks in 2020) in free agency and spent their first two draft picks on pass-rushers (Greg Rousseau, Boogie Basham). Obada has not made an impact to date due to injury and while Rousseau and Basham have both recorded sacks, Buffalo’s pass-rush has not gotten home consistently this season minus their matchup against Miami.

Entering Sunday night’s game, second year pass-rusher A.J. Epenesa is dealing with a foot injury that has him listed as questionable. In addition to Epenesa, Rousseau dealt with a toe injury this week that kept him out of practice one day. Buffalo’s first round pick will play, but he may not be at 100 percent.

If the Bills hope to force a turnover or simply get the Chiefs off the field on Sunday night, Buffalo needs more from their pass-rush.

Will offense bounce back from last performance at Arrowhead Stadium?

Josh Allen noted that the noise at Arrowhead Stadium was very loud in the AFC Championship Game. That matchup had only 17,000 fans so needless to say it will be a lot louder on Sunday night. Buffalo did their part to get ready for the noise by blaring the tomahawk chop song that the Chiefs use at home. With noise being a potential factor in the outcome of the game, the offense will have to be on the same page coming out of the huddle and Allen will have to make checks quickly at the line if necessary.

In addition to dealing with the noise, Buffalo will likely have to deal with a Chiefs defense that is physical and not afraid to make contact with receivers. Last year, Kansas City got away with that style of play in the championship only to get penalized 11 times in the Super Bowl. A handful of those penalties included pass interference and defensive holding calls against the Chiefs. It will be interesting to see if the officials let the teams play a physical style in primetime or call it tighter.

Noise and officials aside, Buffalo’s offense simply needs to be better. Josh Allen faced plenty of pressure in the last meeting and finished the game completing 28-of-48 passes for 287 yards with two touchdowns and one interception. He added 88 yards on the ground and was the team’s only effective running option.

In their Week 5 matchup, Buffalo should fare better. Devin Singletary, limited to a 6-for-17 stat line in the AFC Championship, has run the ball with more success this season and the same can be said for Zack Moss who missed the last matchup due to injury.

Buffalo’s pass catchers should also be able to make more plays even if the Chiefs are physical. Stefon Diggs (torn oblique), Cole Beasley (broken fibula) and Gabriel Davis (ankle) were all banged up in the championship game and enter this matchup relatively healthy. In addition to that trio, veteran Emmanuel Sanders has been as good as advertised posting a 16-268-2 stat line through four games while hauling in several big plays.

Going against a bottom-three defense in the NFL, Buffalo’s offense needs to move the ball up and down the field all night against Kansas City. If the Bills struggle to put up points against this Chiefs defense, the noise about Kansas City being Buffalo’s Kryptonite will only get louder.

Do banged up players take the field or make impact?

Buffalo enters the game with three players questionable on the injury report: Epenesa, Taiwan Jones and Matt Milano. The Chiefs have two players of their own questionable in DL Chris Jones and CB Charvarius Ward.

The two players that standout from those lists are Milano and Jones. Both are playmakers for their respective defenses so it will be interesting to see if they take the field and how much of an impact that they make.

Jones did not practice all week due to a wrist injury, but he was a wrecking machine for Kansas CIty last year in the championship game where he accounted for seven pressures. Milano was limited on Friday due to a hamstring injury. Early in the season, Milano has been the team’s defensive MVP as he is always around the ball and making plays in some capacity.

If Jones or Milano go, even at less than 100 percent, their respective teams will benefit.

Can Bills leave Arrowhead Stadium with commanding lead over KC for AFC’s No. 1 seed?

It’s an any given Sunday league and the Bills still have a few tough matchups remaining on their schedule, but a win on Sunday night would give the Bills a commanding lead over the Chiefs in terms of winning the AFC’s No. 1 seed. It would not only give Buffalo a head-to-head win but a victory on Sunday Night Football over the Chiefs would be Kansas City’s third loss in the conference.

Kansas City, of course, is not the only contender for the AFC’s No. 1 seed, but they have been the AFC’s No. 1 seed twice in the past three seasons.

A win over the Chiefs on Sunday Night Football has major playoff implications despite it only being Week 5.

 


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I'll be fucking pissed if McDermott decides to punt on the opponent's 40 yard line. He should be fired after the game if he does that.

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I think they’ll come out of aggressive. And when Allen and or the offense starts fucking up McDermott will pull the plug fucking quick. And then it will be 1975 football…aka loser ball. 
 

Now if the weather is beyond shitty…please don’t heave the ball everywhere.


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bills are going to surprise the chiefs by leaning heavily on the run. with kcs banged up defense hemorrhaging yardage recently and bflos offense opening holes for the backs, the bills are going to establish the run early, making play-action plays give the receivers more room to get separation. allen will have more called runs than hes had all season

of course, there still will be a lot of passing, just not as much with the bills calling significantly more run plays than usual. this gives the added benefit of keeping kcs offense off the field. it all goes well, the bills can build a lead and pressure kc into mistakes

but to the original point, i agree, the bills need to be aggressive on 4th down. normal football strategy doesnt work against such a powerful offense, you need to create your own breaks. of course, id be happy to take a few lucky turnovers as well

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On 10/10/2021 at 7:24 AM, seandelevan said:

I think they’ll come out of aggressive. And when Allen and or the offense starts fucking up McDermott will pull the plug fucking quick. And then it will be 1975 football…aka loser ball. 
 

Now if the weather is beyond shitty…please don’t heave the ball everywhere.

Another gem of a prediction here...


It is the way.

 

The Things that unite us are far greater than the things that divide us.

 

"Are you a Jedi?" "I am" Din Djarin to Luke Skywalker in The Mandalorian

 

"The Force, it's calling to you. Just let it in." - Maz Kanata: Star Wars VII The Force Awakens

 

#Cup or Bust 2021 #Bowl or Bust 2020

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5 hours ago, daryls61 said:

Another gem of a prediction here...

Yup they came out aggressive…but to everyone’s delight…Allen didn’t fuck up…well almost did with that international grounding bullshit. Massive MASSIVE step taken last night.


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I am glad you are coming around. You have been in a dark place for a long time. Time to embrace the light and enjoy the ride. 


It is the way.

 

The Things that unite us are far greater than the things that divide us.

 

"Are you a Jedi?" "I am" Din Djarin to Luke Skywalker in The Mandalorian

 

"The Force, it's calling to you. Just let it in." - Maz Kanata: Star Wars VII The Force Awakens

 

#Cup or Bust 2021 #Bowl or Bust 2020

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