Jump to content
Sign in to follow this  

How far can the Bills trade up using only 2021 picks?

Recommended Posts

NFL: Combine Brian Spurlock-USA TODAY Sports

The Buffalo Bills have never picked this late in the first round without trading away their first pick. Because of their excellent finish in the 2020 AFC Championship Game, they are picking 30th this April. Naturally, fans are wondering how high the can trade up and general manager Brandon Beane isn’t known for staying put.

The Bills hold picks 30, 62, and 93 in the first three rounds of the draft. They don’t have picks in the fourth or fifth rounds due to previous trades, so those three top picks are the only ones with any real value in the first-round trade up conversation other than to make up the last bit of ground.

According to the old Jimmy Johnson Trade Value Chart, those first three picks are worth 620, 292, and 128 points for a grand total of 1040 points. That equates to roughly the 15th overall pick. Buffalo would have to throw in a sixth rounder and get back a seventh rounder from the New England Patriots at 15 to even-steven the deal.

In the new model, designed by Rich Hill at Pats Pulpit, those top three picks are worth 196.31, 83.98, and 42.07 points for a total of 322.36. That almost gets Buffalo to the 14th pick, which Buffalo could get to by throwing in their seventh round selection in 2021 in order to get ahead of New England and trade with the Minnesota Vikings.

So in this scenario, Buffalo would trade every one of their Day 1 and Day 2 picks plus a Day 3 selection to draft one player. I don’t see it as particularly likely, but there are the numbers for you to work with.

View the full article

The Buffalo Bills....










To Fitzpatrick, Levitre, Kelsay, Mcgee, Barnett, Wilson, Jones, Nelson, Rinehart, McIntyre, Merriman, Shepperd, Scott, White, Wanny, and Mr. Chan Gailey...


It was real, it was fun, it just wasn't REAL FUN!






NEWVILLE MUD DAWGS FEVER BABY! We might not be very good right now, but we have infinite heart! Alot like the Bills! ;) HALLA!


Share this post

Link to post
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Sign in to follow this  

  • Create New...