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Some of the media outlets are going in CYA mode. Of course, I just checked 538 and they're still lying. Another Trump win should kill off Nate Silver and friends for good.

RealClearPolitics Polling Average Flips 4 States from Biden to Trump in Last 5 Days of Campaign

 

President Donald Trump overcame Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s polling lead in four states during the last five days leading up to the 2020 election, according to averages maintained by RealClearPolitics.

The website’s polling averages now suggest Trump leads in Iowa by 2 percent of the vote; Georgia (1 percent); North Carolina (0.2 percent); and Ohio (1.4 percent). Biden previously led polling in all four states, but saw his advantage dwindle in recent days.

Biden’s lead took the biggest hit in Iowa, where he was leading the RealClearPolitics average by 1.2 percent as recently as October 30, after polls from Emerson, Quinnipiac and Emerson Advantage suggested Trump held the edge. A Des Moines Register poll conducted between October 26-29 was the most favorable to Trump, suggesting he led Biden 48-41 percent.

The Democratic nominee’s lead in North Carolina — the most competitive state on the list — took a hit as a result of an InsiderAdvantage poll, conducted between October 26-November 1, that showed Trump leading 48-44 percent. Biden enjoyed his greatest lead in the state at the end of July, when RealClearPolitics’ average showed him holding support from 50 percent of the state’s voters to 45.3 percent for Trump.

Recent polling by Trafalgar Group factored heavily into RealClearPolitics’ calculation for Georgia and Ohio. The Georgia-based polling firm weights its surveys for “social desirability bias,” taking into account the idea that some Trump voters are afraid to be honest with pollsters. That methodology has included asking respondents who they believed their neighbors planned to vote for, as well as differences in how Trafalgar judges who is most likely to vote. It was also one of the only polling firms to correctly predict Trump would win Michigan and Pennsylvania in 2016.

Trafalgar’s last surveys leading up to this week’s election suggested Trump is leading Biden by 5 percent of the vote in both Ohio and Georgia, provoking polling analysts on Tuesday to extend their criticism of Trafalgar to RealClearPolitics. Writing on Twitter, The New York Times’ Nate Cohn suggested the RealClearPolitics averages shouldn’t be treated as credible — even if they turn out to be correct.

 

“Trump may win in the end, but that won’t vindicate RCP,” Cohn wrote. “If Trump wins the polls were really, really wrong. I’ll certainly be nothing but honest about that fact. But you don’t get that impression from RCP, since they’re not fairly reflecting the polls.”

The website’s polling averages show Biden with a lead of 7.2 percent nationally as of Election Day. He also enjoys a narrow polling lead in key swing states, including .09 percent in Arizona and Florida and 1.2 percent in Pennsylvania.

 

 

Biden Campaign Asserts It Can Win Without Pennsylvania and Florida

 

“While we believe we can win all four of them, and we are doing everything in our power to do that, we don’t need to win them and that’s a true luxury,” O’Malley Dillon said. “We don’t need to win any of these four big states in order to still get to 270 electoral votes.”

Biden’s campaign manager proceeded to layout a variety of potential “paths to victory” that did not include either Pennsylvania or Florida.

The implicit admission that two of the election’s biggest swing states could be out of reach comes as polling has shown the contest between Biden and President Donald Trump has tightened in recent days.

Although the former vice president is still favored to win the race, according to some political prognosticators, behind the scenes, his campaign is already preparing for a protracted legal battle that might stretch out well past Election Day.

 

 

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Sack "The Buffalo Range's TRUSTED News Source!"

“When a well-packaged web of lies has been sold gradually to the masses over generations, the truth will seem utterly preposterous and its speaker a raving lunatic.” ~ Dresden James

Parler @NYexile

 

 

 

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Sack "The Buffalo Range's TRUSTED News Source!"

“When a well-packaged web of lies has been sold gradually to the masses over generations, the truth will seem utterly preposterous and its speaker a raving lunatic.” ~ Dresden James

Parler @NYexile

 

 

 

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sack0shit spreading disinformation to the bitter end.   

Trump:  Suburban women puhlleeeeaaaase like me!

Suburban Women:

finger.jpg


lol

 

ECQKgbmW4AAkI5n.jpg:large

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Now this guy has nuts of steel!

Mystery Brit gambler bets $5MILLION on Donald Trump election victory in the ‘largest political wager ever made’

 

A MYSTERY British businessman has bet $5 MILLION on a Donald Trump victory at 37/20 — believed to be the largest political punt ever made.

The rich former-banker who is based offshore used a private bookies registered on the tiny Caribbean island Curacao for his risky gamble on today’s US presidential election.

A pal of the fluttering financiar said he had consulted with "Trump camp insiders" before making the high risk bet that could net him a cheque of almost $15million on 2.85 return.

 

A betting industry source told The Sun: "Word of this bet has done the rounds and we think it's the biggest ever made on politics."

But the mystery punter was not alone in a last minute flurry of bets for the White House incumbent. 

Ladbrokes said 3 in 4 of all bets for Trump in the final week of campaign.

Jessica O'Reilly of Ladbrokes said: "Biden looks home and hosed according to the bookies and pollsters, but even at the eleventh hour punters are continuing to back Trump at the odds on offer."

And Paddy Power said the volume of wagers placed on the two candidates over the last 24-hours has seen 93 per cent of the money backing Donald Trump to get a second term, with just 7 per cent going for Joe Biden.

Biden is still firmly the bookies’ favourite though as America goes to the polls today.

It emerged today that a bet-placer has put $1million on him winning.

According to British bookmaker Betfair Exchange, an unnamed person in the UK placed £1million – or $1.29million – over the weekend on Biden beating incumbent Donald Trump.

If Biden wins the contentious race against Trump, the bet-placer will get $1,986,903. 

The bookmaker said that $337million worth of bets have been placed on the 2020 election.

"This is a huge market," Matthew Shaddick, head of political betting at British sports betting and gambling firm GVC told AFP news agency.

"It is twice as big as 2016, easily making it the biggest political event ever."

Political betting is illegal in the United States – but it’s not overseas.

 

Betfair election expert Paul Krishnamurty told Newsweek that the large betting sums were coming in in the finals days ahead of Election Day because of "growing confidence in the betting market".

"That's what we always see at the end of an election where the people get more confident about the market and the big hitters enter," Krishnamurty said.

"Whilst more money has been bet on Donald Trump, it could be telling that the ten biggest stakes are all on Joe Biden," a Betfair spokesperson told Newsweek.

The Biden-Trump election is set to be the biggest-ever gambling event, per Betfair, as more than $400million is expected in bets by Tuesday.

trump-with-cash.jpg

 

 

 


Sack "The Buffalo Range's TRUSTED News Source!"

“When a well-packaged web of lies has been sold gradually to the masses over generations, the truth will seem utterly preposterous and its speaker a raving lunatic.” ~ Dresden James

Parler @NYexile

 

 

 

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19 minutes ago, 212frawk said:

sack0shit spreading disinformation to the bitter end.   

Trump:  Suburban women puhlleeeeaaaase like me!

Suburban Women:

finger.jpg

Real classy dame.  LOL

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1 hour ago, SackMan518 said:

Some of the media outlets are going in CYA mode. Of course, I just checked 538 and they're still lying. Another Trump win should kill off Nate Silver and friends for good.

RealClearPolitics Polling Average Flips 4 States from Biden to Trump in Last 5 Days of Campaign

President Donald Trump overcame Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden’s polling lead in four states during the last five days leading up to the 2020 election, according to averages maintained by RealClearPolitics.

The website’s polling averages now suggest Trump leads in Iowa by 2 percent of the vote; Georgia (1 percent); North Carolina (0.2 percent); and Ohio (1.4 percent). Biden previously led polling in all four states, but saw his advantage dwindle in recent days.

Biden’s lead took the biggest hit in Iowa, where he was leading the RealClearPolitics average by 1.2 percent as recently as October 30, after polls from Emerson, Quinnipiac and Emerson Advantage suggested Trump held the edge. A Des Moines Register poll conducted between October 26-29 was the most favorable to Trump, suggesting he led Biden 48-41 percent.

The Democratic nominee’s lead in North Carolina — the most competitive state on the list — took a hit as a result of an InsiderAdvantage poll, conducted between October 26-November 1, that showed Trump leading 48-44 percent. Biden enjoyed his greatest lead in the state at the end of July, when RealClearPolitics’ average showed him holding support from 50 percent of the state’s voters to 45.3 percent for Trump.

Recent polling by Trafalgar Group factored heavily into RealClearPolitics’ calculation for Georgia and Ohio. The Georgia-based polling firm weights its surveys for “social desirability bias,” taking into account the idea that some Trump voters are afraid to be honest with pollsters. That methodology has included asking respondents who they believed their neighbors planned to vote for, as well as differences in how Trafalgar judges who is most likely to vote. It was also one of the only polling firms to correctly predict Trump would win Michigan and Pennsylvania in 2016.

Trafalgar’s last surveys leading up to this week’s election suggested Trump is leading Biden by 5 percent of the vote in both Ohio and Georgia, provoking polling analysts on Tuesday to extend their criticism of Trafalgar to RealClearPolitics. Writing on Twitter, The New York Times’ Nate Cohn suggested the RealClearPolitics averages shouldn’t be treated as credible — even if they turn out to be correct.

“Trump may win in the end, but that won’t vindicate RCP,” Cohn wrote. “If Trump wins the polls were really, really wrong. I’ll certainly be nothing but honest about that fact. But you don’t get that impression from RCP, since they’re not fairly reflecting the polls.”

The website’s polling averages show Biden with a lead of 7.2 percent nationally as of Election Day. He also enjoys a narrow polling lead in key swing states, including .09 percent in Arizona and Florida and 1.2 percent in Pennsylvania.

Biden Campaign Asserts It Can Win Without Pennsylvania and Florida

“While we believe we can win all four of them, and we are doing everything in our power to do that, we don’t need to win them and that’s a true luxury,” O’Malley Dillon said. “We don’t need to win any of these four big states in order to still get to 270 electoral votes.”

Biden’s campaign manager proceeded to layout a variety of potential “paths to victory” that did not include either Pennsylvania or Florida.

The implicit admission that two of the election’s biggest swing states could be out of reach comes as polling has shown the contest between Biden and President Donald Trump has tightened in recent days.

Although the former vice president is still favored to win the race, according to some political prognosticators, behind the scenes, his campaign is already preparing for a protracted legal battle that might stretch out well past Election Day.

That's a VERY unusual avatar?  The hell is that?  Rather disturbing to tell you the truth.

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All reports I'm hearing says Trump is doing great. 

Turnout hasn't been what Biden team had hoped in the Dem stronghold cities while the rural turnout for Trump is tremendous.

It's happening all over again 

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44 minutes ago, Philly'sFinest said:

All reports I'm hearing says Trump is doing great. 

Turnout hasn't been what Biden team had hoped in the Dem stronghold cities while the rural turnout for Trump is tremendous.

It's happening all over again 

your grammar sucks..... but so do you.... here's a little snap shot on a D heavy area

Quote

 

With 1.3 million people voting in 2016, Clinton won Harris County (Houston) by 160,000 votes while Trump won statewide by 808,000.

With 1.2 million people voting in 2018, O'Rourke won Harris County by 200,000 votes while Cruz won statewide by 215,000.

Texas will be fucking close.

NEW: Harris County has now crossed 1.5 million votes, with 83k votes at 11:30am.

 

 


lol

 

ECQKgbmW4AAkI5n.jpg:large

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15 minutes ago, 212frawk said:

your grammar sucks..... but so do you.... here's a little snap shot on a D heavy area

People are climbing over one another to vote Sleepy Joe!

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There's going to be a lot of bullshit out there from both sides in the next few hours.  IGNORE exit polls.  They're shit.

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Pepe Electoral.png


Sack "The Buffalo Range's TRUSTED News Source!"

“When a well-packaged web of lies has been sold gradually to the masses over generations, the truth will seem utterly preposterous and its speaker a raving lunatic.” ~ Dresden James

Parler @NYexile

 

 

 

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