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D-Rocafella

Thoughts on AJ Green

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He has been injured since early in training camp, just got out of his walking boot, and is at least another couple of weeks away from being ready for the field. He is 31 years old on the last year of his contract and has had issues staying healthy the past few seasons (Missed 13 games the past 3 seasons).

 

The positive is that his productivity hasn't dropped. In 2017 his last full season he went 75/1078/8. Last season in 9 games he went 46/694/6 which extrapolated to a 16 game season yields 81/1233/10.

 

Now with a early bye (Week 6) the Bills could be in a position to trace for Green around then, use that extra week to catch him up/get him 100% healthy as his original timeline was 6 to 8 weeks and he went down at the end of July. We come back after the bye to play on Oct. 20 which would give Green a little over 10 weeks and with the early bye we would have Green for 11 games and more importantly the more difficult games which kick in during the back half of the schedule.

 

In terms of compensation, the Bengals would get a 3rd round compensatory pick losing him as a free agent. Last season Golden Tate (also on the last year of his deal) went for a 3rd and this off season AB went for a 3rd and 5th. I could see getting Green for a 3rd and at worst having to throw in a 6th.

 

With all the information above if I were the GM I would make the deal. It is looking more and more like Allen only trusts Brown and Beasley and we cannot only rely on the two of them in our passing attack. A guy like Green gives us a true top guy with all the traits of a top guy and the reputation that would instantly make Allen trust in him. Basically we would be paying the 3rd and possibly 6th as a trial run for Green because if it were to work out we have more than enough cap space to fit sign him long term and really balance out the passing attack for the back half of Allen's rookie deal which if done right will be the time we can really be a player.

 

That is what I would do and why I would do it. How do you feel?

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He is a great player but he is 31 years old, on the last year of his contract and injury prone. I like him but with all the above mentioned issues a 2020 conditional 3rd round pick and a 2021 3rd round is what I would offer.

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Nope, not giving up a 3rd for half of a season with a broke down, injury prone WR with a history of deflecting balls and creating INTS. Not even close to worth it, IF he has a decent second half, I'd take a look this offseason, but honestly, don't want him. He's a name more than a player.

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Pass. There's a bunch of good receivers coming out next year in the draft and the Bengals haven't won any championships with him.

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AJ's(in the current scenario) a guy a team that is very close adds, like NE adding AB. I dont think the Bills are close enough to where he'd be worth the investment, but I try to stay open minded about possibilities. Sack's reminder about the draft is worth noting, if we don't try to nail down the OL with the first couple of picks.

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We need to draft our next monster wr. Green is old and oft injured. Imo not worth the risk reward. I think folks need to give John Brown a shot....hes been damn good 2 games in...

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For the right price, yes. I think he'd fit in well with this group. The problem is, who sits?

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We need to draft our next monster wr. Green is old and oft injured. Imo not worth the risk reward. I think folks need to give John Brown a shot....hes been damn good 2 games in...

 

I want to see Robert Foster targeted more because teams are going to start bracketing John Brown and rotate coverage towards him to try and take him away from Allen. Daboll has to show anther WR than can beat one on one coverage in order to give defensive coordinators headaches.

 

I believe Beane will draft a can't miss WR in the 1st round in the draft.

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How long does Green stay, or want to stay?

 

If the Bills or any team that trades for him were to offer up the right contract I would expect Green to sign it. For me a 3rd rounder is worth it to see what Green looks like once he comes back and if his play warrants I have no issue signing him to a 4 or 5 year deal with an aav between 12-15 million.

 

The only thing that I'm not sure how it would work is if the team that trades for Green, if they don't resign him do they then get the comp pick? Because if so then giving up a 3rd and say a 6th to see if Green is still the guy becomes less of a risk because if he is not then you let him walk and get that comp pick.

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We need to draft our next monster wr. Green is old and oft injured. Imo not worth the risk reward. I think folks need to give John Brown a shot....hes been damn good 2 games in...

We don't need him.

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Not a chance in hell I would give up a third-round pick. That's a very valuable pick that has a good chance of being a starter. You don't give that up for a guy who has maybe two high productive years left max. And that's only when he's able to play. he's one more injury away from not being productive at all for your team

 

Quite frankly, like Neil said, I don't think we need him. Every WR on this team has been contributing to the wins so far, with the exception of Andre Roberts who has been injured.

 

I think Opie was telling the truth when he said there is no number one receiver on this team. That's not how they are put together. That's not their philosophy to the offense. They go with the guy who is hot and right now that guy is John Brown

 

The only way I would consider trading for green is if somebody got injured for the season. And even then with all his injury troubles I can't see going above a fourth-rounder

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For the right price, yes. I think he'd fit in well with this group. The problem is, who sits?

 

Anyone except Brown and Beasley. Green is awesome and I think the same sort of thing like they did with Benjamin would make sense. If Green starts to get healthy and we are having a good year, then go get him. He is a difference maker and probably has a good 3 years left. We have a shit ton of cap space...use it.

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For the right price, yes. I think he'd fit in well with this group. The problem is, who sits?

 

Zay

 

No problem finding a seat.

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I'd probably give up a 4 if he comes back and proves he's healthy. He's a massive target and a proven elite WR. 31 isn't that old.

 

if he proves hes healthy then it would cost more than a 4

 

if the bills have any intention on getting him, they should try to do it now and stipulate that if he misses x number of games due to injury that they get some compensation back. idk exactly how they would work that into the trade but they would have to protect themselves somehow. perhaps trading a 5th that escalates to a 4th if he misses 1-2 games and all the way to a 3rd if he plays every remaining game

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