I have already posted similar sentiments a few times, but in case anyone missed those..........here is an article saying the same thing:
by Mike Catalana Thursday, January 16th 2020
Every Bills fan knows this team is in need of a play making wide receiver. But when the draft goes to Las vegas this spring and you are screaming for them to take one of the top pass catchers in round one, remember that recent history shows a real mixed bag when it comes to teams using a first round pick on a WR. Let's break down the first round WR's over the past 5 years.
Busts
Corey Coleman Browns First round 2016 (15th overall)
Coleman isn't just one of the worst first round wide receivers ever taken, he will go down as one of the worst first round picks of the decade. The Browns dumped him after two atrocious seasons. He went to the Bills in 2018 when they had opne of the worst wide receiver groups in franchise history and still could not make the regular roster. Coleman had a cup of coffee with the Patriots who quickly saw he could not play. His last stop was the Giants where he caught 5 passes to move his career total of catches to 61.
Kevin White Bears First round 2015 (7th overall)
White is an all-time bust, but injuries played the biggest part in keeping him off the field.. Coming out of West Virginia, the Bears thought he was going to be a game breaker. Instead a shin injury turned into a surgery and a lost rookie season. Maybe it was the injury but his career never got started. In 2016 he played 4 games before suffering another season ending leg injury. In 2017 White suffered a 3rd season ending injury when he hurt his shoulder on opening day. That ended his career with the Bears and he eventually took a shot with the Arizona Cardinals, but White was cut in training camp.
Laquon Treadwell Vikings First Round 2016 (23rd overall)
The Vikings should have known there were issues with Treadwell when he caught just one pass in 9 games a a rookie. Somehow he has started 16 games in his 4 years in Minnesota but caught just 65 passes for 701 yards in his entire career.
Josh Doctson Redskins First round 2016) 22nd overall)
Doctson's career got off to a bad start when an Achilles injury ended his rookie season after just 3 games. He put together similar seasons in 2018 and 2018 when he 35 and then 44 passes, each season for just over 500 yards. Washington decided not to pick up his 5th year option and then cut him loose. Doctson was claimed by the Vikings who eventually cut him during the 2019 season.
Breshad Perriman Ravens First round 2015 (26th overall)
Perriman lost his rookie season to injury but came back to play in 2016. he did have 33 catches for 499 yards and 3 touchdowns, showing some promise. But 2018 was a disaster in Baltimore, with Perriman catching just 10 passes in 11 games and then being cut by Baltimore. he was picked up the Browns in 2018 where he showed his speed with 340 yards on only 16 catches. he signed in 2019 with the Tampa Bay Bucs where he showed some progress with 36 catches for 645 yards and 6 TD's. But the Ravens spent a 1st round pick on him and he's finally showing something with hsi 3rd team
So you are saying there is a chance
Nelson Agholor Eagles First round 2016 (20th overall)
You want the good of Nelson Agholor? In the 2017 Eagles Super Bowl winning season, he moved to the slot and had more catches, receiving yards and TD's than in his previous two seasons combined (62 catches 768 yards and 8TD's) Then in the Super Bowl win over the Patriots, Agholor caught 3 key passes on what proved to be the game winning drive and finished the game with 84 yards and a championship ring. But it's the rest of his time in Philly that should make the next part of his career interesting to see play out. After another solid year in 2018, Agholor reverted back to his rookie and year two play in 2019 and struggled during the entire season. He also had some key drops, including potential game winners from Carson Wentz in games against the Falcons and Patriots. The Eagles did pick up his 5th year option but will now likely be letting him walk into free agency.
Corey Davis Titans First round 2017 (5th overall)
The highlight for Davis so far was year two in the NFL. He started all 16 games and caught 65 passes for 891 yards and hauled in 4 touchdowns. But the rest of the time for Davis in the league has been a disappointment. His rookie year was marred by a hamstring injury that bothered him for the entire season. But the problem for the Titans is that Davis went back to his rookie form in 2019 when he lost snaps to AJ Brown. Davis has size 6'3 " and speed to still be an impactful player. But 3 years into the league he has been a major disappointment, especially when you take into account how highly he was drafted
N"Keal Harry Patriots First round 2019 (32nd overall)
Harry easily could be in the "encouraging signs" category. His rookie year was limited because of an injury that kept him off the field with an ankle injury from training camp. He finally debuted for New England and played 7 games , including 5 as a starting WR. Harry had 12 catches on the season including a pair for touchdowns. His season was an incomplete.
John Ross Bengals First round 2017 (9th overall)
Ross has not been able to stay healthy since joining the Bengals. There is a chance he can still be a productive player, but he is closing in on the bust category. In 3 seasons Ross has played in exactly half of his possible games (24). He did have a stunning 7 touchdowns on ony 21 catches in his 2nd season, but Ross has had just 49 career catches. THE BEST
DJ Moore Panthers First Round (2018) (24th overall)
After an encouraging rookie year with 55 catches and 788 yards, Moore brought out in 2019 with 87 catches and 1175 yards this past season. And look at what Moore was working with in Carolina. After starting the year with a beaten up Cam Newton, Moore caught passes from Kyle Allen most of the year before finishing with Will Grier. It's just 2 seasons in but the former Maryland Terp looks like a very good choice and good value.
Calvin Ridley Falcons First round (2018) (26th overall)
Ridley got drafted into a pretty good spot in Atlanta. He was in a pass oriented offense with a veteran QB in Matt Ryan and a super star WR on the other side. But Ridley has put up the kind of numbers the Falcons were looking for when they took him late in round one. Ridley had 64 catches as a rookie and 63 in season number two. He had 821 yards as a rookie and 866 as a sophomore. Ridley caught 7 TD passes as a rookie and 10 in 2019. He's dealt with some injuries but has been a productive 2nd option for the Falcons.
Late Bloomers
De'Vante Parker Dolphins First round 2015 (14th overall)
All well that ends well? Parker showed some flashes as a rookie in 2015 when he caught just 26 passes. a 100 yard receiving game to close the season against the Patriots was encouraging. In fact, he began the 2016 season with a big game against the Patriots again (8 catches and 106 yards) and finished with 744 yards for the playoff bound Dolphins. 2018 was a year in which Parker traded water, catching 57 passes with only 1 touchdown Surprisingly, Miami picked up Parker's 5th year option to begin the 2018 season, but he took a step back, catching just 24 passes in 11 games after dealing with an injury. But then came 2019 and Fitz Magic. Parker had career highs in catches (72) yards (1202) and TD's (9). And after having his name come up in trade rumors, Miami turned around and signed him to a 4 year, $40 million dollar extension.
Mike Williams Chargers First round 2017 (7th overall)
Much like the Bills pick of Sammy Watkins, the Chargers picked a Clemson Wide Receiver in the top 10 of the draft (But they only used a single first round pick in the process) As a rookie a back injury forced him to miss all of training camp. The rest of his first season was marked by inconsistency. He finished the year playing just 10 games and catching only 11 passes for 95 yards. In 2018 he scored his first NFL touchdown against the Bills in Orchard Park. Even though his overall numbers were modest (43 catches for 644 yards) Williams showed a knack for getting into the endzone by using his 6'4" frame to get contested passes. In 2019, he found a way to make big plays. Williams was targeted 90 times but caught just 49 passes. But the key was the yardage. He finished the year with 1001 yards and a 20.4 average yards per catch to lead the NFL . He caught just 2 TD passes during a tough year for quarterback Philip Rivers
Encouraging signs
Marquise Brown Ravens First round 2019 (25th overall)
a 5'9" speedster out of Oklahoma with the nickname "Hollywood" (because he is from Hollywood, Florida) Brown became the most impactful wide out on a Ravens team that is built around Lamar Jackson's skill set. What a way to make a debut in the league. Despite playing just 14 snaps, Brown became the first player in NFL history to catch a pair of 40 plus yard touchdowns in his first NFL game as the Ravens crushed the Dolphins. In his next game, Brown came back with 8 catches for 86 yards against the Cardinals. When the season was finished, the rookie ended up with just 46 catches but 7 were for scores. His overall success might be based on Jackson become more adept at making throws to the outside.
Will Fuller Texans First round 2016 (21st overall)
Every Will Fuller story starts out with "if he can stay on the field" Nagging injuries have been the most frustrating part for both Fuller and the Texans. Fuller has started just 41 out of a possible 64 games in his career. While he plays with dynamic Deshaun Watson as his QB and one of , if not the best WR's in the NFL in De'Andre Hopkins on the other side, Fuller's speed and deep pass catching ability seems to be the difference maker in the Texans offense going from good to great.
Some players that flashed in the E-W Shrine Game on Jan 18th....(and remember those players that stand out get drafted 4th-7th round) WR Binjimen Victor, Ohio State 6'4" Victor is coming off a senior season that saw him post career-highs in catches (35) and yardage (573) while also scoring six touchdowns. Victor made a couple of catches during the game but the one that best showed off his skills was a 36-yard touchdown off a flea-flicker. RB Rico Dowdle, South Carolina He looked like the most explosive and shifty player out on the field. He found ways to break off big runs and showed a knack for finding space and making the most of each of his runs. Dowdle’s best run came on a 30-yard scamper that saw him quickly identify the hole and attack it while getting outside. Kendall Coleman, DE, Syracuse: Mctelvin Agim, DT, Arkansas: Jon Runyan, OL, Michigan: RB Benny LeMay Wins Offensive MVP - Charlotte running back Benny LeMay was named the offensive MVP with 80 yards and two touchdowns on 16 carries. Illinois State safety Luther Kirk earned defensive MVP honors with the contest's only interception.